The outlook for the agri-sector from 2025 to 2026
To close the session, Andrea asked panellists their outlook for the rest of 2025 going into 2026. In addition, Andrea asked how the sector proposes to continue to attract capital when there are less support systems in place, a smaller pool of capital available to producers and increased risk.
Paul Sablich, Shared Interest Head of Lending, said:
"I started with the topic of prices, so I will address it from that perspective. Now, there is still quite high price volatility. It is very tangible. Especially for producer groups trading in commodities.
"We as lenders need to carefully monitor these movements. In coffee, we already have seen lower prices since March 2025 onwards - and the equation is not complex. If you purchase coffee from your farmers at high prices, but later fix it at lower prices to export it, then you make a loss. We do not know if the reducing tendency will continue or not."
"Therefore, we need to monitor and accompany producer groups in the second half of the year, whether the price goes up or down.
"We still need to see, in the second half of the year, the implementation of the EUDR. I believe compliance for several of our customers is advanced, but not for every producer group.
"We know it is not a one-time effort. It requires implementing adequate processes, introducing new business practices and instating traceability systems to facilitate reliable data collection in the longer-term, among other challenges."
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